RISK WARNING : Devido ao factor de risco ser muito alto no trading no mercado Forex, somente os fundos livres devem ser usados para este trading. Se você não tiver o capital extra, que pode perder, não deve fazer trading no mercado Forex. O trading no Forex é conveniente somente para os traders institucionais ou traders privados experientes que podem resistir a perdas financeiras e que podem exceder o valor de margem ou depósitos. O investimento implica riscos substanciais, incluindo a possibilidade de perda total de capital e outras perdas que podem ser inaceitáveis para muitas pessoas. O governo não protege investimentos de perdas no mercado, diferentemente de poupança e de contas correntes num banco. Vários instrumentos de mercados financeiros têm diferentes tipos de riscos e de vários níveis. Trading em sistema electrónico pode ser diferente não somente de trading num mercado de leilão, mas também de outros sistemas de trading electrónico. Se você executa transacções usando um sistema electrónico de trading, estará exposto a riscos relativos a este sistema, incluindo falhas de software e hardware (programas de computador). O resultado desta falha pode ser que sua ordem não tenha sido efectuada conforme as suas instruções ou não tenha sido executada. Transacções realizadas em mercados de jurisdições estrangeiras, incluindo os mercados anteriormente ligados a um mercado nacional, podem expor você a riscos adicionais. Tais mercados podem estar sujeitos a regras e leis, que oferecem outras condições de protecção ou debilitá-los. Sua autoridade reguladora local não será capaz de forçar o cumprimento das regras das autoridades reguladoras, ou dos mercados em outras jurisdições onde suas transacções foram efectuadas. Você precisa obter a informação completa sobre tipos de compensação existente, as regras aplicáveis na jurisdição do seu país e outras jurisdições relevantes, antes de começar a fazer trading. Nenhum sistema de negociação "seguro" foi descoberto/reconhecido e ninguém pode garantir lucros ou liberdade de perda. Qualquer desempenho apresentado neste blog, não garante resultados futuros. Nenhuma representação é feita que qualquer conta é susceptível de obter lucros ou perdas semelhantes aos mostrados. De facto, existem diferenças acentuadas entre os resultados de desempenho anteriores e os resultados futuros subsequentemente alcançados por qualquer configuração de conta particular. Existem inúmeros outros factores relacionados com os mercados em geral ou com a implementação de qualquer configuração de conta específica que não possa ser totalmente contabilizada na preparação de resultados de desempenho anteriores e que possam afectar negativamente os resultados futuros de negociação. Uma vez que a negociação com êxito depende de muitos elementos, incluindo mas não limitado a uma configuração de conta . Por favor, perceba o risco envolvido como qualquer investimento e consulte Profissionais de Investimento antes de equacionar investir/operar.
Because the risk factor is very high in Forex trading, only free funds should be used for this trading. If you do not have the extra capital that you can lose, you should not do trading in the Forex market. Forex trading is only convenient for institutional traders or experienced private traders who can withstand financial losses and who may exceed the margin amount or deposits. The investment entails substantial risks, including the possibility of total loss of capital and other losses that may be unacceptable to many people. The government does not protect investments from losses in the market, unlike savings and checking accounts at a bank. Several financial market instruments have different types of risks and different levels. Trading in electronic systems may differ not only from trading in an auction market, but also from other electronic trading systems. If you execute transactions using an electronic trading system, you will be exposed to risks related to this system, including software and hardware failures (computer programs). The result of this failure may be that your order has not been carried out according to your instructions or has not been carried out. Transactions in markets of foreign jurisdictions, including markets formerly linked to a domestic market, may expose you to additional risks. Such markets may be subject to rules and laws, which offer other conditions of protection or weaken them. Your local regulatory authority will not be able to force you to comply with the rules of regulatory authorities, or markets in other jurisdictions where your transactions were made. You need to get complete information on existing compensation types, applicable rules in your country's jurisdiction and other relevant jurisdictions, before you start trading. No "safe" trading system has been discovered / recognized and no one can guarantee profits or freedom from loss. Any performance featured on this blog does not guarantee future results. No representation is made that any account is likely to make profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are sharp differences between the previous performance results and future results subsequently achieved by any particular account configuration. There are a number of other factors relating to markets in general or to the implementation of any particular account configuration that can not be fully accounted for in the preparation of past performance results that could adversely affect future trading results. Since trading successfully depends on many elements, including but not limited to an account setup. Please note the risk involved as any investment and consult Investment Professionals before considering investing / operating.
Cumprimentos Marco Henriques

31/12/2013

Forex Market Update 31Dec13

Forex Market Update

The greenback is trading mostly higher against its key peers on the last day of 2013, in a thin trade, with investors finding little fuel to push the trade higher. However, the USD weakened yesterday after pending home sale in the US showed a slight increase in November, although the modest uptick fell well short of market estimates.
The Euro ticked lower against the USD to $1.3777, losing grasp of the $1.3800 level it held on the previous day, while the British Pound edged higher, amid rising expectations that the UK economy would perform strongly during 2014. For the year, the Euro is expected to gain around 4.0% against the dollar, while the Pound headed to an annual increase of around 2.4%.
In a noteworthy development, the Greek Prime Minister, Antonis Samaras, announced yesterday that the nation will leave its bailout programme in 2014 without needing a third aid package and insisted that citizens could look to 2014 with confidence.
Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen is trading higher against the USD this morning. In the midst of pro-active policies from Japan’s government and central bank, the Yen has dropped sharply over the past year, with dollar up 22.0% against the currency.
The Canadian Dollar and the Australian Dollar also headed for a yearly loss, falling around 7.0% and 14.0%, respectively, against the greenback. However, the Aussie edged higher this morning against the USD, after economic data indicated that private sector credit in Australia in November rose at the same pace as the previous month, but the annual pace accelerated by a level last seen in October 2012.

EUR USD
This morning at 10:40 GMT, the EUR is trading at 1.3777 against the USD, 0.17% lower from the New York close, in a relatively thin trading session this morning. The greenback remained supported amid economic optimism in the US, fuelling speculations that the US Federal Reserve might bring in further alterations in its bond purchases during 2014. Further in the week, investors are likely to keep a close tab on a slew of manufacturing PMI reports across the Euro zone, slated to release on Thursday. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.3813 and a low of 1.3759. Yesterday, the EUR traded 0.21% higher against the USD in the New York session, and closed at 1.3800.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.3745 and first resistance at 1.3814.

GBP USD
At 10:40 GMT, the GBP is trading at 1.6536 against the USD, 0.14% higher from the New York close, amid hopes that the UK’s economy would continue to recover robustly in 2014. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.6547 and a low of 1.6474. Yesterday, the British Pound traded 0.22% higher versus the Dollar in the New York session, and closed at 1.6512.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.6482 and first resistance at 1.6569.

USD JPY
The USD is trading at 104.99 against the JPY at 10:40 GMT this morning, 0.14% lower from the New York close. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 105.17 and a low of 104.86. In the New York session yesterday, the USD traded 0.09% lower against the JPY, and closed at 105.13.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 104.81 and first resistance at 105.22.

USD CHF
This morning at 10:40 GMT, the USD is trading at 0.8904 against the Swiss Franc, 0.27% higher from the New York close. With a void of economic releases today, market participants are likely to gauge the last batch of macroeconomic data from the US to determine the trading trend in the pair. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 0.8912 and a low of 0.8865. In the New York session yesterday, the USD traded 0.21% lower against the CHF, and closed at 0.8880.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 0.8870 and first resistance at 0.8928.

USD CAD
At 10:40 GMT, the USD is trading at 1.0644 against the CAD, marginally lower from the New York close. Amid no major releases in Canada in the first half of January 2014, the Loonie traders would look for global news for further guidance. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.0658 and a low of 1.0636. Yesterday, the USD traded 0.61% lower against the CAD in the New York session, and closed at 1.0647.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.0612 and first resistance at 1.0698.

AUD USD
The AUD is trading at 0.8916 against the USD, at 10:40 GMT this morning, 0.16% higher from the New York close. In economic news, private sector credit in Australia rose 0.3% (MoM) in November. Traders would wait for the performance of the manufacturing index released by the AIG, slated to release tomorrow, to gauge the business conditions in the Australian manufacturing sector. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 0.8951 and a low of 0.8898. AUD traded 0.33% higher against the USD in the New York session, and closed at 0.8902.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 0.8868 and first resistance at 0.8957.

Gold
At 10:40 GMT, Gold staged a modest rebound this morning trading at $1202.00 per ounce, 0.43% higher from the New York close. However, the precious metal was still heading for its biggest annual decline in more than three decades, as investors continue to lose faith in the precious metal as a hedge against inflation and an alternative investment after the US Federal Reserve announced plans to trim in its monthly bond purchases. This morning, Gold traded at a high of $1203.77 and a low of $1194.88 per ounce. In the New York session yesterday, the yellow metal traded 0.55% lower, and closed at $1196.85.

Gold has its first support at $1194.61 and first resistance at $1209.09.

Silver
Silver is trading at $19.53 per ounce, 0.27% lower from the New York close, at 10:40 GMT this morning. This morning, Silver traded at a high of $19.70 and a low of $19.40. Silver traded 0.29% lower against the USD in the New York session, and closed at $19.58.

Silver has its first support at $19.34 and first resistance at $19.77.

Crude Oil
At 10:40 GMT, Oil is trading at $98.92 per barrel, 0.30% lower from the New York close on the final trading day of the year, on signs of Libyan export resumption. Traders paid passing attention to the news that China may raise Iranian oil imports in 2014. Ahead in the day, the API is due to release its weekly oil inventory report, while the more-closely watched EIA report have been postponed to Friday due to the New Year’s Day holiday. This morning, Oil traded at a high of $99.39 and a low of $98.84. Yesterday, Oil traded 0.54% lower in the New York session, and closed at $99.23.

It has its first support at $98.38 and first resistance at $99.92.

Economic Snapshot

UK’s Lloyds business barometer rose at a slower pace in December
The Lloyds business barometer in the UK rose to a reading of 48.0 in December, compared to a rise of 50.0 recorded in the previous month.

Australia’s private sector credit climbed less than anticipated in November
On a monthly basis, private sector credit in Australia advanced 0.3% in November, compared to a similar increase recorded in the preceding month. Markets were expecting private sector credit to climb 0.4% in November.
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