RISK WARNING : Devido ao factor de risco ser muito alto no trading no mercado Forex, somente os fundos livres devem ser usados para este trading. Se você não tiver o capital extra, que pode perder, não deve fazer trading no mercado Forex. O trading no Forex é conveniente somente para os traders institucionais ou traders privados experientes que podem resistir a perdas financeiras e que podem exceder o valor de margem ou depósitos. O investimento implica riscos substanciais, incluindo a possibilidade de perda total de capital e outras perdas que podem ser inaceitáveis para muitas pessoas. O governo não protege investimentos de perdas no mercado, diferentemente de poupança e de contas correntes num banco. Vários instrumentos de mercados financeiros têm diferentes tipos de riscos e de vários níveis. Trading em sistema electrónico pode ser diferente não somente de trading num mercado de leilão, mas também de outros sistemas de trading electrónico. Se você executa transacções usando um sistema electrónico de trading, estará exposto a riscos relativos a este sistema, incluindo falhas de software e hardware (programas de computador). O resultado desta falha pode ser que sua ordem não tenha sido efectuada conforme as suas instruções ou não tenha sido executada. Transacções realizadas em mercados de jurisdições estrangeiras, incluindo os mercados anteriormente ligados a um mercado nacional, podem expor você a riscos adicionais. Tais mercados podem estar sujeitos a regras e leis, que oferecem outras condições de protecção ou debilitá-los. Sua autoridade reguladora local não será capaz de forçar o cumprimento das regras das autoridades reguladoras, ou dos mercados em outras jurisdições onde suas transacções foram efectuadas. Você precisa obter a informação completa sobre tipos de compensação existente, as regras aplicáveis na jurisdição do seu país e outras jurisdições relevantes, antes de começar a fazer trading. Nenhum sistema de negociação "seguro" foi descoberto/reconhecido e ninguém pode garantir lucros ou liberdade de perda. Qualquer desempenho apresentado neste blog, não garante resultados futuros. Nenhuma representação é feita que qualquer conta é susceptível de obter lucros ou perdas semelhantes aos mostrados. De facto, existem diferenças acentuadas entre os resultados de desempenho anteriores e os resultados futuros subsequentemente alcançados por qualquer configuração de conta particular. Existem inúmeros outros factores relacionados com os mercados em geral ou com a implementação de qualquer configuração de conta específica que não possa ser totalmente contabilizada na preparação de resultados de desempenho anteriores e que possam afectar negativamente os resultados futuros de negociação. Uma vez que a negociação com êxito depende de muitos elementos, incluindo mas não limitado a uma configuração de conta . Por favor, perceba o risco envolvido como qualquer investimento e consulte Profissionais de Investimento antes de equacionar investir/operar.
Because the risk factor is very high in Forex trading, only free funds should be used for this trading. If you do not have the extra capital that you can lose, you should not do trading in the Forex market. Forex trading is only convenient for institutional traders or experienced private traders who can withstand financial losses and who may exceed the margin amount or deposits. The investment entails substantial risks, including the possibility of total loss of capital and other losses that may be unacceptable to many people. The government does not protect investments from losses in the market, unlike savings and checking accounts at a bank. Several financial market instruments have different types of risks and different levels. Trading in electronic systems may differ not only from trading in an auction market, but also from other electronic trading systems. If you execute transactions using an electronic trading system, you will be exposed to risks related to this system, including software and hardware failures (computer programs). The result of this failure may be that your order has not been carried out according to your instructions or has not been carried out. Transactions in markets of foreign jurisdictions, including markets formerly linked to a domestic market, may expose you to additional risks. Such markets may be subject to rules and laws, which offer other conditions of protection or weaken them. Your local regulatory authority will not be able to force you to comply with the rules of regulatory authorities, or markets in other jurisdictions where your transactions were made. You need to get complete information on existing compensation types, applicable rules in your country's jurisdiction and other relevant jurisdictions, before you start trading. No "safe" trading system has been discovered / recognized and no one can guarantee profits or freedom from loss. Any performance featured on this blog does not guarantee future results. No representation is made that any account is likely to make profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are sharp differences between the previous performance results and future results subsequently achieved by any particular account configuration. There are a number of other factors relating to markets in general or to the implementation of any particular account configuration that can not be fully accounted for in the preparation of past performance results that could adversely affect future trading results. Since trading successfully depends on many elements, including but not limited to an account setup. Please note the risk involved as any investment and consult Investment Professionals before considering investing / operating.
Cumprimentos Marco Henriques

27/01/2014

Forex Market Update 27Jan14

Forex Market Update

The US Dollar started the week on a mixed note, as investors eye the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy meeting’s outcome during the week, amid increased expectations pointing towards yet another policy taper by the FOMC members.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund’s Managing Director, Christine Lagarde at the World Economic Forum, cautioned markets about the downside risks to the global economy due to the reduction in the pace of the monthly bond purchases by the US Fed and falling prices in the Euro-zone.
The Euro is trading tad lower against the USD, amid rising concerns over the impact of the Federal Reserve scaling back its stimulus program. In a noteworthy development, Moody’s rating agency, over the weekend, reaffirmed its “Negative” outlook for France.
Meanwhile, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) President, Mario Draghi, stated that the economic recovery in the bloc is still weak and that the inflation would continue to remain at current levels over the period of two years.
In economic news, the German IFO indicated that its business climate index advanced to 110.6 in January, surpassing market forecasts for a reading of 110.0 and up from 109.5 in December, indicating that businesses in the Euro zone’s largest economy had a strong start to the year.
Over to the Asia Pacific, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) released the minutes of its latest policy meeting, which revealed that the policymakers see no urgent requirement to increase the stimulus in the nation.

EUR USD
This morning at 10:40 GMT, the EUR is trading at 1.3677 against the USD, tad lower from the New York close. Earlier, the Euro rose after data released this morning indicated that German business confidence advanced to the highest level in two-and-a-half years in January. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.3717 and a low of 1.3671. Yesterday, the EUR traded 0.12% lower against the USD in the New York session, and closed at 1.3678, after the ECB Chief, Mario Draghi, at the World Economic Forum annual meet in Davos, stated that the recovery of the Euro-zone is still “fragile” as the region still continues to witness uneven growth.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.3650 and first resistance at 1.3722.

GBP USD
At 10:40 GMT, the GBP is trading at 1.6561 against the USD, 0.38% higher from the New York close. With no economic releases on the deck today, all eyes are now set on the UK’s fourth quarter GDP data to be released later tomorrow. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.6573 and a low of 1.6474. Yesterday, the British Pound traded 0.10% lower versus the Dollar in the New York session, and closed at 1.6499.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.6482 and first resistance at 1.6633.

USD JPY
The USD is trading at 102.59 against the JPY at 10:40 GMT this morning, 0.16% higher from the New York close. The BoJ’s last policy meeting’s minutes revealed that the policymakers believe that there no immediate requirement to increase the size of the monetary stimulus and that the inflation would continue to rise in the future. In economic news, Japanese trade deficit unexpectedly widened in December. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 102.78 and a low of 101.73. In the New York session yesterday, the USD traded tad higher against the JPY, and closed at 102.43.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 101.96 and first resistance at 103.01.

USD CHF
This morning at 10:40 GMT, the USD is trading at 0.8960 against the Swiss Franc, 0.12% higher from the New York close. In the absence of any major macroeconomic data from Switzerland, traders would look into global macroeconomic data for further guidance. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 0.8964 and a low of 0.8931. In the New York session yesterday, the USD traded marginally higher against the CHF, and closed at 0.8949.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 0.8919 and first resistance at 0.8984.

USD CAD
At 10:40 GMT, the USD is trading at 1.1062 against the CAD, 0.07% lower from the New York close. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.1074 and a low of 1.1050. Yesterday, the USD traded slightly lower against the CAD in the New York session, and closed at 1.1070. In economic news, the Canadian consumer prices rose in December. The Statistics Canada indicated that the consumer price index (CPI) in Canada rose 1.2% (YoY) in December, below market expectation for a 1.4% rise and compared to a gain of 0.9% reported in the preceding month.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.1038 and first resistance at 1.1099.

AUD USD
The AUD is trading at 0.8731 against the USD, at 10:40 GMT this morning, 0.26% higher from the New York close. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 0.8739 and a low of 0.8676. AUD traded modestly lower against the USD in the New York session, and closed at 0.8708.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 0.8681 and first resistance at 0.8760.

Gold
At 10:40 GMT, Gold is trading at $1268.59 per ounce, 0.08% lower from the New York close. This morning, Gold traded at a high of $1279.60 and a low of $1266.32 per ounce. In the New York session yesterday, the yellow metal traded tad lower, and closed at $1269.56.

Gold has its first support at $1258.89 and first resistance at $1278.94.

Silver
Silver is trading at $19.92 per ounce, slightly higher from the New York close, at 10:40 GMT this morning. This morning, Silver traded at a high of $20.09 and a low of $19.83. Silver traded 1.55% lower against the USD in the New York session, and closed at $19.92.

Silver has its first support at $19.67 and first resistance at $20.23.

Crude Oil
At 10:40 GMT, Oil is trading at $96.97 per barrel, 0.10% higher from the New York close. This morning, Oil traded at a high of $97.18 and a low of $96.60. Yesterday, Oil traded 0.24% lower in the New York session, and closed at $96.90.

It has its first support at $96.32 and first resistance at $97.56.

Economic Snapshot

Ifo business climate index in Germany increased more than expectations in January
The Ifo business climate index in Germany rose to a level of 110.6 in January, higher than market expectation of a level of 110.0 and following a reading of 109.5 reported in the previous month. Meanwhile, the Ifo current assessment index in Germany rose to a level of 112.4 in January, in line with market expectations and compared to a reading of 111.6 reported in the preceding month. The Ifo business expectations index in Germany rose to a reading of 108.9 in January, against a reading of 107.4 reported in the December.

Happy pips.