RISK WARNING : Devido ao factor de risco ser muito alto no trading no mercado Forex, somente os fundos livres devem ser usados para este trading. Se você não tiver o capital extra, que pode perder, não deve fazer trading no mercado Forex. O trading no Forex é conveniente somente para os traders institucionais ou traders privados experientes que podem resistir a perdas financeiras e que podem exceder o valor de margem ou depósitos. O investimento implica riscos substanciais, incluindo a possibilidade de perda total de capital e outras perdas que podem ser inaceitáveis para muitas pessoas. O governo não protege investimentos de perdas no mercado, diferentemente de poupança e de contas correntes num banco. Vários instrumentos de mercados financeiros têm diferentes tipos de riscos e de vários níveis. Trading em sistema electrónico pode ser diferente não somente de trading num mercado de leilão, mas também de outros sistemas de trading electrónico. Se você executa transacções usando um sistema electrónico de trading, estará exposto a riscos relativos a este sistema, incluindo falhas de software e hardware (programas de computador). O resultado desta falha pode ser que sua ordem não tenha sido efectuada conforme as suas instruções ou não tenha sido executada. Transacções realizadas em mercados de jurisdições estrangeiras, incluindo os mercados anteriormente ligados a um mercado nacional, podem expor você a riscos adicionais. Tais mercados podem estar sujeitos a regras e leis, que oferecem outras condições de protecção ou debilitá-los. Sua autoridade reguladora local não será capaz de forçar o cumprimento das regras das autoridades reguladoras, ou dos mercados em outras jurisdições onde suas transacções foram efectuadas. Você precisa obter a informação completa sobre tipos de compensação existente, as regras aplicáveis na jurisdição do seu país e outras jurisdições relevantes, antes de começar a fazer trading. Nenhum sistema de negociação "seguro" foi descoberto/reconhecido e ninguém pode garantir lucros ou liberdade de perda. Qualquer desempenho apresentado neste blog, não garante resultados futuros. Nenhuma representação é feita que qualquer conta é susceptível de obter lucros ou perdas semelhantes aos mostrados. De facto, existem diferenças acentuadas entre os resultados de desempenho anteriores e os resultados futuros subsequentemente alcançados por qualquer configuração de conta particular. Existem inúmeros outros factores relacionados com os mercados em geral ou com a implementação de qualquer configuração de conta específica que não possa ser totalmente contabilizada na preparação de resultados de desempenho anteriores e que possam afectar negativamente os resultados futuros de negociação. Uma vez que a negociação com êxito depende de muitos elementos, incluindo mas não limitado a uma configuração de conta . Por favor, perceba o risco envolvido como qualquer investimento e consulte Profissionais de Investimento antes de equacionar investir/operar.
Because the risk factor is very high in Forex trading, only free funds should be used for this trading. If you do not have the extra capital that you can lose, you should not do trading in the Forex market. Forex trading is only convenient for institutional traders or experienced private traders who can withstand financial losses and who may exceed the margin amount or deposits. The investment entails substantial risks, including the possibility of total loss of capital and other losses that may be unacceptable to many people. The government does not protect investments from losses in the market, unlike savings and checking accounts at a bank. Several financial market instruments have different types of risks and different levels. Trading in electronic systems may differ not only from trading in an auction market, but also from other electronic trading systems. If you execute transactions using an electronic trading system, you will be exposed to risks related to this system, including software and hardware failures (computer programs). The result of this failure may be that your order has not been carried out according to your instructions or has not been carried out. Transactions in markets of foreign jurisdictions, including markets formerly linked to a domestic market, may expose you to additional risks. Such markets may be subject to rules and laws, which offer other conditions of protection or weaken them. Your local regulatory authority will not be able to force you to comply with the rules of regulatory authorities, or markets in other jurisdictions where your transactions were made. You need to get complete information on existing compensation types, applicable rules in your country's jurisdiction and other relevant jurisdictions, before you start trading. No "safe" trading system has been discovered / recognized and no one can guarantee profits or freedom from loss. Any performance featured on this blog does not guarantee future results. No representation is made that any account is likely to make profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are sharp differences between the previous performance results and future results subsequently achieved by any particular account configuration. There are a number of other factors relating to markets in general or to the implementation of any particular account configuration that can not be fully accounted for in the preparation of past performance results that could adversely affect future trading results. Since trading successfully depends on many elements, including but not limited to an account setup. Please note the risk involved as any investment and consult Investment Professionals before considering investing / operating.
Cumprimentos Marco Henriques

11/02/2014

Forex Market Update 11Fev14

Forex Market Update

This morning, the greenback is trading mostly lower against most of the major currencies, ahead of Janet Yellen’s first public speech as the head of the Federal Reserve. Additionally, a speech by the Philadelphia Fed President, Charles Plosser, will also gain market attention today.
In the UK, the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) raised the nation’s growth projection for 2014 and further indicated that the economy may gain strength from business investment this year.
The Euro is trading higher against the US Dollar. Earlier today, German Finance Minister, Wolfgang Schaeuble opined that the recent turmoil in the emerging markets would have a negative impact on the Euro-zone’s export sector. He also agreed to the ECB President Mario Draghi viewpoint and indicated that falling prices were not a danger for the Euro-zone, despite a drop in the bloc's inflation rate to 0.7% last month and warnings from the IMF that deflation is a potential risk.
Yesterday, the Canadian Dollar declined against the greenback after data showed that housing starts in Canada slowed more than analysts’ expectations in January. The Canadian Dollar also faced some resistance after the Bank of Canada (BoC) Deputy Governor, John Murray stated that a weakness in the Loonie and strengthening of the global economy would foster broader economic growth in the Canada.
The greenback traded mostly lower in the New York session yesterday, against the key currencies.

EUR USD
This morning at 10:40 GMT, the EUR is trading at 1.3672 against the USD, 0.21% higher from the New York close. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.3684 and a low of 1.3644. Yesterday, the EUR traded 0.07% higher against the USD in the New York session, and closed at 1.3644, after Euro-zone Sentix investor confidence rose unexpectedly in February.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.3635 and first resistance at 1.3697.

GBP USD
At 10:40 GMT, the GBP is trading at 1.6425 against the USD, 0.13% higher from the New York close, after the CBI upgraded its 2014 growth projection for the Britain’s economy. In economic news, the BRC retail sales monitor in the UK advanced more than analysts’ expectations in January. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.6442 and a low of 1.6400. Yesterday, the British Pound traded marginally higher versus the Dollar in the New York session, and closed at 1.6403.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.6393 and first resistance at 1.6450.

USD JPY
The USD is trading at 102.41 against the JPY at 10:40 GMT this morning, 0.14% higher from the New York close. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 102.49 and a low of 102.11. In the New York session yesterday, the USD traded 0.13% higher against the JPY, and closed at 102.26.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 102.10 and first resistance at 102.60.

USD CHF
This morning at 10:40 GMT, the USD is trading at 0.8955 against the Swiss Franc, 0.16% lower from the New York close. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 0.8972 and a low of 0.8948. In the New York session yesterday, the USD traded slightly lower against the CHF, and closed at 0.8969.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 0.8936 and first resistance at 0.8978.

USD CAD
At 10:40 GMT, the USD is trading at 1.1059 against the CAD, tad higher from the New York close. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.1092 and a low of 1.1056. Yesterday, the USD traded 0.19% higher against the CAD in the New York session, and closed at 1.1058. The Canadian Dollar declined against its US counterpart after the housing starts in Canada fell more-than-expected in January. Meanwhile, the BoC Deputy Governor, John Murray highlighted the need of a weaker Loonie for the growth of the Canadian economy. 

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.1028 and first resistance at 1.1091.

AUD USD
The AUD is trading at 0.9027 against the USD, at 10:40 GMT this morning, 0.85% higher from the New York close. Earlier today, in Australia, data showed that home loans declined in December while the house prices rose 3.4% in the fourth quarter. Separately, the National Australia Bank reported that business conditions in the nation rose to the highest level in nearly three years in January. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 0.9040 and a low of 0.8946. AUD traded 0.18% higher against the USD in the New York session, and closed at 0.8951.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 0.8951 and first resistance at 0.9072.

Gold
At 10:40 GMT, Gold is trading at $1283.35 per ounce, 0.67% higher from the New York close. This morning, Gold traded at a high of $1287.80 and a low of $1273.91 per ounce. In the New York session yesterday, the yellow metal traded marginally higher, and closed at $1274.85.

Gold has its first support at $1274.15 and first resistance at $1290.17.

Silver
Silver is trading at $20.17 per ounce, 0.43% higher from the New York close, at 10:40 GMT this morning. This morning, Silver traded at a high of $20.27 and a low of $20.06. Silver traded 0.75% lower against the USD in the New York session, and closed at $20.08.

Silver has its first support at $20.04 and first resistance at $20.30.

Crude Oil
At 10:40 GMT, Oil is trading at $100.35 per barrel, 0.40% higher from the New York close. This morning, Oil traded at a high of $100.49 and a low of $99.88. Yesterday, Oil traded 0.38% higher in the New York session, and closed at $99.98. An industry report revealed that oil production by the OPEC nations edged higher by 150,000 barrels per day in January.

It has its first support at $99.61 and first resistance at $100.82.

Economic Snapshot

UK BRC retail sales rose more than forecasts in January
On an annual basis, like-for-like retail sales in the UK rose 3.9% in January, compared to a 0.4% rise recorded in the previous month. Markets were expecting the UK retail sales to rise 0.8% in January.

CBI upgraded UK’s 2014 economic growth forecast
The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has forecast that the UK’s economy would expand by 2.6% in 2014, up from its November forecast for a growth of 2.4%. Meanwhile, it downgraded UK’s 2015 growth forecast to 2.5%, from its earlier estimate of 2.6%.

Home loan approvals in Australia fell unexpectedly in December
On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, home loan approvals in Australia fell 1.9% in December, following a revised 1.4% increase recorded in the preceding month. Market had expected Australia’s home loan approvals to rise 0.7% in December. Meanwhile investment lending in Australia rose 2.9% in December, following a revised rise of 2.0% recorded in the previous month.

Australia NAB business confidence advanced in January
Business confidence in Australia advanced to a level of 8.0 in January, compared to a reading of 6.0 recorded in the previous month. Similarly, business conditions in Australia rose to a reading of 4.0 in January, from a revised level of 3.0 in the previous month.

Australian house prices rose more than forecasts in Q4 2013
On a quarterly basis, the house price index (HPI) in Australia rose 3.4% in Q4 2013, compared to an upwardly revised rise of 2.4% recorded in the previous quarter. Market had expected the house price index to rise 3.0% in Q4 2013.

Happy pips.