RISK WARNING : Devido ao factor de risco ser muito alto no trading no mercado Forex, somente os fundos livres devem ser usados para este trading. Se você não tiver o capital extra, que pode perder, não deve fazer trading no mercado Forex. O trading no Forex é conveniente somente para os traders institucionais ou traders privados experientes que podem resistir a perdas financeiras e que podem exceder o valor de margem ou depósitos. O investimento implica riscos substanciais, incluindo a possibilidade de perda total de capital e outras perdas que podem ser inaceitáveis para muitas pessoas. O governo não protege investimentos de perdas no mercado, diferentemente de poupança e de contas correntes num banco. Vários instrumentos de mercados financeiros têm diferentes tipos de riscos e de vários níveis. Trading em sistema electrónico pode ser diferente não somente de trading num mercado de leilão, mas também de outros sistemas de trading electrónico. Se você executa transacções usando um sistema electrónico de trading, estará exposto a riscos relativos a este sistema, incluindo falhas de software e hardware (programas de computador). O resultado desta falha pode ser que sua ordem não tenha sido efectuada conforme as suas instruções ou não tenha sido executada. Transacções realizadas em mercados de jurisdições estrangeiras, incluindo os mercados anteriormente ligados a um mercado nacional, podem expor você a riscos adicionais. Tais mercados podem estar sujeitos a regras e leis, que oferecem outras condições de protecção ou debilitá-los. Sua autoridade reguladora local não será capaz de forçar o cumprimento das regras das autoridades reguladoras, ou dos mercados em outras jurisdições onde suas transacções foram efectuadas. Você precisa obter a informação completa sobre tipos de compensação existente, as regras aplicáveis na jurisdição do seu país e outras jurisdições relevantes, antes de começar a fazer trading. Nenhum sistema de negociação "seguro" foi descoberto/reconhecido e ninguém pode garantir lucros ou liberdade de perda. Qualquer desempenho apresentado neste blog, não garante resultados futuros. Nenhuma representação é feita que qualquer conta é susceptível de obter lucros ou perdas semelhantes aos mostrados. De facto, existem diferenças acentuadas entre os resultados de desempenho anteriores e os resultados futuros subsequentemente alcançados por qualquer configuração de conta particular. Existem inúmeros outros factores relacionados com os mercados em geral ou com a implementação de qualquer configuração de conta específica que não possa ser totalmente contabilizada na preparação de resultados de desempenho anteriores e que possam afectar negativamente os resultados futuros de negociação. Uma vez que a negociação com êxito depende de muitos elementos, incluindo mas não limitado a uma configuração de conta . Por favor, perceba o risco envolvido como qualquer investimento e consulte Profissionais de Investimento antes de equacionar investir/operar.
Because the risk factor is very high in Forex trading, only free funds should be used for this trading. If you do not have the extra capital that you can lose, you should not do trading in the Forex market. Forex trading is only convenient for institutional traders or experienced private traders who can withstand financial losses and who may exceed the margin amount or deposits. The investment entails substantial risks, including the possibility of total loss of capital and other losses that may be unacceptable to many people. The government does not protect investments from losses in the market, unlike savings and checking accounts at a bank. Several financial market instruments have different types of risks and different levels. Trading in electronic systems may differ not only from trading in an auction market, but also from other electronic trading systems. If you execute transactions using an electronic trading system, you will be exposed to risks related to this system, including software and hardware failures (computer programs). The result of this failure may be that your order has not been carried out according to your instructions or has not been carried out. Transactions in markets of foreign jurisdictions, including markets formerly linked to a domestic market, may expose you to additional risks. Such markets may be subject to rules and laws, which offer other conditions of protection or weaken them. Your local regulatory authority will not be able to force you to comply with the rules of regulatory authorities, or markets in other jurisdictions where your transactions were made. You need to get complete information on existing compensation types, applicable rules in your country's jurisdiction and other relevant jurisdictions, before you start trading. No "safe" trading system has been discovered / recognized and no one can guarantee profits or freedom from loss. Any performance featured on this blog does not guarantee future results. No representation is made that any account is likely to make profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are sharp differences between the previous performance results and future results subsequently achieved by any particular account configuration. There are a number of other factors relating to markets in general or to the implementation of any particular account configuration that can not be fully accounted for in the preparation of past performance results that could adversely affect future trading results. Since trading successfully depends on many elements, including but not limited to an account setup. Please note the risk involved as any investment and consult Investment Professionals before considering investing / operating.
Cumprimentos Marco Henriques

15/05/2014

Market Update15Mai14

Forex Market Update

This morning, the greenback is trading mostly higher against most of the major currencies, ahead of the US consumer inflation data and a planned speech from the Fed Chief, Janet Yellen.
The EUR lost ground after Euro-zone’s Q1 GDP growth disappointed while consumer prices in the nation managed to come in-line with market estimates for April. Adding to the negative sentiment were comments from ECB’s Vitor Constancio who hinted that the ECB would act swiftly if inflation outlook deteriorates. However, German Finance Minister, Wolfgang Schaeuble dismissed concerns by stating that he did not see deflation in the region currently.
In a noteworthy event, the IMF’s Olivier Blanchard revealed that the fund sees 25% probability for the Euro-zone economy to slip in deflation by the end of 2015.
In Japan, the BoJ Governor, Haruhiko Kuroda highlighted his confidence in the nation achieving its 2.0% inflation target in fiscal 2015, after reports showed that economic growth in Japan rose at the fastest pace in more than 2 years in Q1 2013. However, Fitch Ratings kept its “Negative” outlook on Japan even as it affirmed its “A+” rating on the nation.
Yesterday, in the New York session, the greenback traded mixed against the key currencies. In economic releases, US producer prices registered its biggest rise since September 2012 in April.  

EUR USD
This morning at 9:40 GMT, the EUR is trading at 1.3662 against the USD, 0.39% lower from the New York close, after Euro-zone’s GDP data came in below forecast for the first quarter and after consumer prices in the region fell on a monthly basis in April.  However, economic growth in Germany surpassed analysts’ estimates while economic growth in France and Italy contracted in the Q1. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.3724 and a low of 1.3668. Yesterday, the EUR traded a tad higher against the USD in the New York session, and closed at 1.3715.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.3639 and first resistance at 1.3706.

GBP USD
At 9:40 GMT, the GBP is trading at 1.6758 against the USD, marginally lower from the New York close. Earlier today, BoE’s Ben Broadbent hinted that interest rates in the UK economy would not rise until the economy is ready to withstand the effects of policy tightening. Separately, the UK CB leading economic indicator rose at a slower pace in March. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.6779 and a low of 1.6744. Yesterday, the British Pound traded marginally lower versus the Dollar in the New York session, and closed at 1.6766, hurt by the BoE Governor, Mark Carney’s dovish comments.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.6722 and first resistance at 1.6804.

USD JPY
The USD is trading at 101.90 against the JPY at 9:40 GMT this morning, 0.05% higher from the New York close. However, initially the JPY received support after data showed that the Japanese economy expanded at the fastest rate in nearly three years in the first quarter even as the nation’s tertiary industry index and consumer confidence index fell short of analysts’ estimates. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 102.13 and a low of 101.76. In the New York session yesterday, the USD traded a tad lower against the JPY, and closed at 101.85.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 101.66 and first resistance at 102.13.

USD CHF
This morning at 9:40 GMT, the USD is trading at 0.8946 against the Swiss Franc, 0.53% higher from the New York close, as the latter came under pressure after Swiss producer and import prices defied market expectations and fell 0.3% month-on-month in April. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 0.8949 and a low of 0.8894. In the New York session yesterday, the USD traded slightly higher against the CHF, and closed at 0.8899.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 0.8906 and first resistance at 0.8968.

USD CAD
At 9:40 GMT, the USD is trading at 1.0869 against the CAD, 0.18% lower from the New York close. Traders await Canada’s manufacturing shipments data for further cues in the Loonie. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 1.0892 and a low of 1.0862. Yesterday, the USD traded 0.20% lower against the CAD in the New York session, and closed at 1.0889.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 1.0842 and first resistance at 1.0904.

AUD USD
The AUD is trading at 0.9376 against the USD, at 9:40 GMT this morning, a tad lower from the New York close. In economic news, Moody’s rating agency expressed an optimistic view on the Australia’s mining sector and affirmed its “AAA” credit rating on the nation. In data, RBA foreign exchange transaction totaled A$325.0 million in April, nearly half of A$736 million worth of transactions in the previous month. During the session, the pair traded at a high of 0.9395 and a low of 0.9365. AUD traded 0.22% lower against the USD in the New York session, and closed at 0.9378.

The pair is expected to find its first support at 0.9352 and first resistance at 0.9404.

Gold
At 9:40 GMT, Gold is trading at $1303.60 per ounce, 0.13% lower from the New York close. This morning, Gold traded at a high of $1307.30 and a low of $1301.40 per ounce. In the New York session yesterday, the yellow metal traded 0.18% lower, and closed at $1305.30, but held ground above the key
$1,300-an-ounce level, supported by lingering tensions over in Ukraine crisis.

Gold has its first support at $1299.53 and first resistance at $1308.43.

Silver
Silver is trading at $19.71 per ounce, 0.33% lower from the New York close, at 9:40 GMT this morning. This morning, Silver traded at a high of $19.84 and a low of $19.61. Silver traded 0.70% lower against the USD in the New York session, and closed at $19.78. However, losses in the white metal were limited after a report showed that demand for physical silver climbed 13.0% to reach a to a record high of 1,081.1 million ounces in 2013.

Silver has its first support at $19.55 and first resistance at $19.94.

Crude Oil
At 9:40 GMT, Oil is trading at $101.96 per barrel, marginally higher from the New York close. This morning, Oil traded at a high of $102.13 and a low of $101.74. Yesterday, Oil traded 0.16% lower in the New York session, and closed at $101.93, as concerns on supply-outlook of the commodity eased after the EIA reported a 900,000 barrels rise in the US crude supplies last week. Oil prices also came under pressure after Libya reported that operation at its El Feel oilfield resumed yesterday.

It has its first support at $101.58 and first resistance at $102.49.

Economic Snapshot

UK CB leading economic index rose at a slower pace in March
The CB leading economic index in the UK rose 0.3% in March, following an increase of 0.4% recorded in the preceding month.

Euro-zone GDP rose less than market estimates in Q1 2014
On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, the preliminary GDP in the Euro-zone rose 0.2% in Q1 2014, less than market expectations of a rise of 0.4% and compared to rise of 0.2% in the previous quarter.

Euro-zone final consumer price index rose in line with the preliminary estimate in April
On an annual basis, the Euro-zone’s final consumer price index increased 0.7% in April, in line with preliminary estimate and compared to a rise of 0.5% recorded in the previous month.

ECB to maintain a high degree of monetary accommodation if needed, indicated ECB’s monthly report
The European Central Bank (ECB) in its monthly report for May 2014, indicated that the Euro-zone economy is recovering as expected and the central bank’s inflation expectations for the Euro area over the medium to long term continue to be firmly anchored below, but close to 2.0%.

German economy expanded more than market expectations in the first quarter of 2014
On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, Germany’s GDP increased 0.8% in the Q1 2014, more than market estimates of 0.7% rise and compared to a 0.4% rise reported in the preceding quarter.

France GDP remained flat in Q1 2014
On a quarterly basis, French GDP remained flat in the first quarter of 2014, compared to a revised rise of 0.2% reported in the previous quarter.

Italy’s economy contracts unexpectedly in the Q1 2014
On a seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly basis, the GDP in Italy fell 0.1% in the first quarter of 2014, compared to a 0.1% rise reported in the previous quarter. Markets had expected the GDP to rise 0.2% in the Q1 2014.

Swiss producer and import prices dropped in April
On a monthly basis, the producer and import price index in Switzerland fell 0.3% in April, compared to a flat change recorded in the previous month.

Japan consumer confidence index declined in April
The consumer confidence index in Japan fell unexpectedly to a level of 37.0 in April, compared to reading of 37.5 reported in the previous month.

Australian RBA foreign exchange transaction declined in April
The RBA foreign exchange transaction in Australia declined to A$ 325.0 million in April from A$ 736.0 million in the previous month.

Good trades.