RISK WARNING : Devido ao factor de risco ser muito alto no trading no mercado Forex, somente os fundos livres devem ser usados para este trading. Se você não tiver o capital extra, que pode perder, não deve fazer trading no mercado Forex. O trading no Forex é conveniente somente para os traders institucionais ou traders privados experientes que podem resistir a perdas financeiras e que podem exceder o valor de margem ou depósitos. O investimento implica riscos substanciais, incluindo a possibilidade de perda total de capital e outras perdas que podem ser inaceitáveis para muitas pessoas. O governo não protege investimentos de perdas no mercado, diferentemente de poupança e de contas correntes num banco. Vários instrumentos de mercados financeiros têm diferentes tipos de riscos e de vários níveis. Trading em sistema electrónico pode ser diferente não somente de trading num mercado de leilão, mas também de outros sistemas de trading electrónico. Se você executa transacções usando um sistema electrónico de trading, estará exposto a riscos relativos a este sistema, incluindo falhas de software e hardware (programas de computador). O resultado desta falha pode ser que sua ordem não tenha sido efectuada conforme as suas instruções ou não tenha sido executada. Transacções realizadas em mercados de jurisdições estrangeiras, incluindo os mercados anteriormente ligados a um mercado nacional, podem expor você a riscos adicionais. Tais mercados podem estar sujeitos a regras e leis, que oferecem outras condições de protecção ou debilitá-los. Sua autoridade reguladora local não será capaz de forçar o cumprimento das regras das autoridades reguladoras, ou dos mercados em outras jurisdições onde suas transacções foram efectuadas. Você precisa obter a informação completa sobre tipos de compensação existente, as regras aplicáveis na jurisdição do seu país e outras jurisdições relevantes, antes de começar a fazer trading. Nenhum sistema de negociação "seguro" foi descoberto/reconhecido e ninguém pode garantir lucros ou liberdade de perda. Qualquer desempenho apresentado neste blog, não garante resultados futuros. Nenhuma representação é feita que qualquer conta é susceptível de obter lucros ou perdas semelhantes aos mostrados. De facto, existem diferenças acentuadas entre os resultados de desempenho anteriores e os resultados futuros subsequentemente alcançados por qualquer configuração de conta particular. Existem inúmeros outros factores relacionados com os mercados em geral ou com a implementação de qualquer configuração de conta específica que não possa ser totalmente contabilizada na preparação de resultados de desempenho anteriores e que possam afectar negativamente os resultados futuros de negociação. Uma vez que a negociação com êxito depende de muitos elementos, incluindo mas não limitado a uma configuração de conta . Por favor, perceba o risco envolvido como qualquer investimento e consulte Profissionais de Investimento antes de equacionar investir/operar.
Because the risk factor is very high in Forex trading, only free funds should be used for this trading. If you do not have the extra capital that you can lose, you should not do trading in the Forex market. Forex trading is only convenient for institutional traders or experienced private traders who can withstand financial losses and who may exceed the margin amount or deposits. The investment entails substantial risks, including the possibility of total loss of capital and other losses that may be unacceptable to many people. The government does not protect investments from losses in the market, unlike savings and checking accounts at a bank. Several financial market instruments have different types of risks and different levels. Trading in electronic systems may differ not only from trading in an auction market, but also from other electronic trading systems. If you execute transactions using an electronic trading system, you will be exposed to risks related to this system, including software and hardware failures (computer programs). The result of this failure may be that your order has not been carried out according to your instructions or has not been carried out. Transactions in markets of foreign jurisdictions, including markets formerly linked to a domestic market, may expose you to additional risks. Such markets may be subject to rules and laws, which offer other conditions of protection or weaken them. Your local regulatory authority will not be able to force you to comply with the rules of regulatory authorities, or markets in other jurisdictions where your transactions were made. You need to get complete information on existing compensation types, applicable rules in your country's jurisdiction and other relevant jurisdictions, before you start trading. No "safe" trading system has been discovered / recognized and no one can guarantee profits or freedom from loss. Any performance featured on this blog does not guarantee future results. No representation is made that any account is likely to make profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are sharp differences between the previous performance results and future results subsequently achieved by any particular account configuration. There are a number of other factors relating to markets in general or to the implementation of any particular account configuration that can not be fully accounted for in the preparation of past performance results that could adversely affect future trading results. Since trading successfully depends on many elements, including but not limited to an account setup. Please note the risk involved as any investment and consult Investment Professionals before considering investing / operating.
Cumprimentos Marco Henriques

09/05/2016

Forex Market Update


This morning, the greenback is trading lower against most of the major currencies.
The EUR is trading higher against the USD, after Eurozone’s investor confidence index advanced more-than-market estimates in May. Moreover, Germany’s factory orders edged up more-than-expectations in March, indicating signs of robust demand and strength being extended to the second quarter.
The YEN lost ground against the USD. Earlier today, the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) March monetary policy meeting indicated that the central bank agreed that the country’s economy was recovering, but warned of a weakening consumer sentiment and a slowdown in consumer inflation. Further, the BoJ added that the nation faces number of downside risks with sluggish exports, though domestic demand is expected to rise. Moreover, Japan’s consumer confidence weakened less-than-expected in April, indicating less confidence in the minds of consumers regarding the economic conditions.
On Friday, the greenback traded higher in the New York session against the key currencies. Macroeconomic data released indicated that the US economy created fewer jobs than market expectations in April and unemployment rate remained unchanged in the same month. A disappointing jobs report gave way for expectations that the US Fed will not hike rates any sooner. Meanwhile, average hourly earnings increased on a monthly as well as on an annual basis in April. Separately, the nation’s consumer credit expanded more-than-expected in March.

EURUSD
At 09:40 GMT, the pair is trading at 1.1405, with the EUR trading marginally higher against USD from the New York close. In economic news, Eurozone’s Sentix investor confidence advanced more-than-expected in May. The pair witnessed a high of 1.1421 and a low of 1.1380 during the session. The Euro traded 0.29% lower against the US Dollar in the New York session on Friday, with the pair closing the session at 1.1403.  The pair is expected to its find support at 1.1363 and its first resistance at 1.1462.

GBPUSD
The GBP is trading at 1.4457 against the USD at 09:40 GMT, 0.19% higher from the New York close. Going forward, traders will keep an eye on UK’s BRC retail sales, scheduled later in the day for further cues. The Pound hit a high of 1.4469 and a low of 1.4378 against the US Dollar this morning. On Friday, the Pound traded 0.18% lower against the US Dollar in the New York session and ended at 1.4429. Immediate downside, the first support level is seen at 1.4376, while on the upside, the first resistance level is situated at 1.4540.

USDJPY
The US Dollar is trading at 107.86 against the Yen at 09:40 GMT, 0.69% higher from the New York close. Earlier in the session, data showed that Japan’s consumer confidence index declined in April from previous month’s level. The pair traded at a high of 107.96 and a low of 107.08 this morning. On Friday, the US Dollar traded 0.57% higher against the Yen in the New York session and ended at 107.12. Immediate downside, the first support level is seen at 106.88, while on the upside, the first resistance level is situated at 108.40.

USDCHF
This morning, at 09:40 GMT, the US Dollar is trading at 0.9687 against the Swiss Franc, 0.43% lower from the New York close. On the data front, Switzerland’s consumer price index advanced more-than-expected on a monthly basis in April. The pair witnessed a high of 0.9738 and a low of 0.9685 during the session. On Friday, the USD traded 0.52% higher against the CHF in the New York session and ended at 0.9728.  Immediate downside, the first support level is seen at 0.9645, while on the upside, the first resistance level is situated at 0.9733.

USDCAD
At 09:40 GMT, the pair is trading at 1.2915, with the USD trading 0.10% higher against CAD from the New York close.  This morning, the pair traded at a high of 1.2955 and a low of 1.2899. The US Dollar declined against the Canadian Dollar in the New York session on Friday, closing 0.13% lower at 1.2902. In economic news, Canada’s unemployment rate unexpectedly remained steady at 7.1% in April. The pair is expected to its find support at 1.2852 and its first resistance at 1.2967.

AUDUSD
The Australian Dollar is trading at 0.7354 against the US Dollar at 09:40 GMT, 0.19% lower from the New York close. Elsewhere, in China, Australia’s top trading partner, overnight data indicated that trade balance widened in April. The pair witnessed a high of 0.7387 and a low of 0.7334 during the session. The Australian Dollar traded 0.11% higher against the US Dollar in the New York session on Friday, with the pair closing the session at 0.7368.  The pair is expected to its find support at 0.7327 and its first resistance at 0.7387.

Gold
The precious metal is trading at $1278.60 per ounce at 09:40 GMT this morning, 0.86% lower from the New York close.  This morning, the precious metal traded at a high of $1291.20 per ounce and a low of $1276.50 per ounce. On Friday, gold traded 0.36% lower in the New York session and closed at $1289.70 per ounce. However, gold prices pared its losses, after a weaker than expected jobs report, raised anticipations that the Federal reserve will delay raising interest rates anytime soon. Gold has its first support at $1270.83 per ounce and its first resistance at $1292.03 per ounce.

Silver
The precious metal is trading at $17.40 per ounce at 09:40 GMT this morning, 0.60% lower from the New York close. During the session, silver traded at a high of $17.53 per ounce and a low of $17.36 per ounce. In the New York session on Friday, silver rose 0.14% and closed at $17.51 per ounce. Silver has its first support at $17.20 per ounce and its first resistance at $17.62 per ounce.

Oil
The commodity is trading at $45.71 per barrel at 09:40 GMT this morning, 2.58% higher from the New York close. Crude oil hit a high of $45.75 per barrel and a low of $44.55 per barrel during the session. In the New York session on Friday, crude oil rose 1.6% to close at $44.56 per barrel, after a wildfire in Canada, lowered the nation’s crude production. Moreover, Baker Hughes reported that US oil rig count fell by 5 to 415 last week, registering its seventh consecutive week decline. Immediate downside, the first support level is seen at $44.25 per barrel, while on the upside, the first resistance level is at $46.46 per barrel.

Economic Snapshot

UK Halifax house price index declined more than expected in April
On a MoM basis, the Halifax house price index recorded a drop of 0.80% in April, in the UK, compared to a revised rise of 2.20% in the previous month. Market anticipation was for the Halifax house price index to ease 0.30%.

Eurozone investor confidence index advanced in May
In May, the investor confidence index in the Eurozone advanced to 6.20, compared to market expectations of a rise to a level of 6.00. In the prior month, the investor confidence index had recorded a reading of 5.70.

German factory orders advanced more than expected in March
In March, the seasonally adjusted factory orders recorded a rise of 1.90% in Germany, on a monthly basis, more than market expectations for a rise of 0.60%. Factory orders had dropped by a revised 0.80% in the prior month.

Swiss consumer price index advanced more than expected in April
In April, the consumer price index recorded a rise of 0.30% in Switzerland, on a MoM basis, more than market expectations for an advance of 0.10%. The consumer price index had registered a similar rise in the previous month.

Japanese consumer confidence index registered a drop in April
The consumer confidence index in Japan fell to a level of 40.80 in April, compared to market expectations of a drop to 40.70. The consumer confidence index had recorded a reading of 41.70 in the prior month.

Chinese trade surplus widened in April
In April, trade surplus in China rose to $45.56 billion, compared to market expectations of a trade surplus of $40.00 billion. China had posted a trade surplus of $29.86 billion in the previous month.

Chinese imports dropped more than expected in April
In China, imports recorded a drop of 10.90% on a YoY basis in April, higher than market expectations for a fall of 4.00%. In the previous month, imports had dropped 7.60%.

Chinese exports unexpectedly slid in April
Exports in China unexpectedly dropped 1.80% on a YoY basis in April, lower than market expectations for a steady reading. Exports had recorded a rise of 11.50% in the prior month.

Good trades.

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